
As we approach at the end of year and new information is known, know new predictions for 2009 for the Euribor and for the interest rate. We already had the opportunity to explain to you what is this indicator and how it is calculated. We even speak on the forecasts for the Euribor for 2009 as the Instituo of Official Credit (ICO) that was placing his fall up to 1,9 %.
Nevertheless, all the Financial institutions that have communicated their own studies have placed it even for below, concerning 1,5 %. This way the BBVA did it in his moment.
Yesterday for his part, the Santander predicted that the BCE would lower the interest rates throughout 2009 up to 1,5 % since they think that the economic situation is worse than the waited for tenor of the last information, and do not foresee the first recovery symptoms but till the end of 2009.
The indicators of the industrial production and of the exports for the latter trimester of the year will not be pleasing at all. Also, the principal countries of the world bring falls of the activity while the expense in the families stands out, increasing the saving valuation. This way, Santander thinks that there will be a fall of the GDP of the euroarea in this fourth trimester in 0,6 %, and thinks that it might be much accused also at least in the first trimester of 2009.
As for the inflation they think that it will be about 1 % although the average inflation might come up to 0 % if the oil price stays so low, concerning 40 dollars.

